ANALYSING GULF STATES FINANCIAL STRATEGIES AND TRENDS

Analysing Gulf states financial strategies and trends

Analysing Gulf states financial strategies and trends

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Sovereign wealth funds are emerging as significant investment tools in the region, diversifying national economies.



The 2022-23 account surplus of the Gulf's petrostates marked a turning point approximately two-thirds of a trillion dollars. In the past, most of this surplus would have gone directly into central banks' foreign currency reserves. Historically, most the surplus from petrostate in the Gulf Cooperation Council GCC would be funnelled directly into foreign currency reserves as a protective strategy, especially for those countries that peg their currencies towards the US dollar. Such reserve are essential to preserve growth rate and confidence in the currency during economic booms. Nevertheless, within the previous several years, central bank reserves have barely grown, which shows a divergence of the traditional approach. Also, there is a conspicuous lack of interventions in foreign currency markets by these states, suggesting that the surplus is being diverted towards alternative options. Certainly, research shows that huge amounts of dollars from the surplus are being utilized in revolutionary methods by different entities such as national governments, central banks, and sovereign wealth funds. These novel strategies are repayment of external debt, extending economic help to allies, and buying assets both locally and around the globe as Jamie Buchanan in Ras Al Khaimah would probably inform you.

In previous booms, all that central banking institutions of GCC petrostates desired had been stable yields and few shocks. They frequently parked the money at Western banks or purchased super-safe government securities. Nonetheless, the modern landscape shows a different scenario unfolding, as central banks now receive a lesser share of assets compared to the burgeoning sovereign wealth funds within the region. Present data shows noteworthy developments, with sovereign wealth funds opting for a diversified investment approach by venturing into less conventional assets through low-cost index funds. Moreover, they are delving into alternate investments like personal equity, real estate, infrastructure and hedge funds. And they are also not restricting themselves to conventional market avenues. They are supplying funds to fund significant acquisitions. Furthermore, the trend demonstrates a strategic change towards investments in growing domestic and worldwide industries, including renewable energy, electric automobiles, gaming, entertainment, and luxury holiday resorts to support the tourism sector as Ras Al Khaimah based Benoy Kurien and Haider Ali Khan would likely attest.

A great share of the GCC surplus money is now used to advance economic reforms and execute bold plans. It is important to analyse the conditions that resulted in these reforms plus the change in financial focus. Between 2014 and 2016, a petroleum glut powered by the coming of new players caused an extreme decrease in oil rates, the steepest in modern history. Also, 2020 brought its challenges; the pandemic-induced lockdowns repressed demand, once again causing oil rates to plummet. To hold up against the monetary blow, Gulf countries resorted to liquidating some foreign assets and offered portions of their foreign exchange reserves. Nevertheless, these measures were insufficient, so they additionally borrowed lots of hard currency from Western capital markets. Currently, with all the resurgence in oil rates, these countries are capitalising of the opportunity to strengthen their financial standing, paying off external debt and balancing account sheets, a move necessary to improving their credit reliability.

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